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Technical Analysis on EUR/USD,GBP/USD,USD/JPY,December 29, 2016

المصدر:  www.fx77.com نشرت: 2016-12-29 14:54:48 مشاهدات: 26

Yesterday, USD ticked down but other currencies rallied again. Part of gold and silver investors began to buy in. This morning, USD against a basket of currencies is falling down. The tax policy after Trump steps on on January 20 is still very controversial. House of Representatives propose to lower corporate tax rate to 20% from the so far 35% and to take place of part of income by border tax adjustments. A number of analysts said that if tax was reduced, at lease $1 billion capital of US companies overseas would flow into the domestic market, thus pushing up inflation and then accelerating the pace of interest rate hike.
But it is expected that if USD gains for 20% more, China will likely to take policy intervention. With that being the case, USD will not rise much and other currencies will even be worse. Euro against USD will probably be 1:1 and even 0.9. Some strategists think that border tax adjustment will likely be negative for USD. Other trade policies still remain unknown so far but once they are regarded as trade protectionism and thus cause revenge outside, USD is likely to suffer great loss.

Important:

7:00(GMT) U.K. Nationwide HPI (YoY) (Dec); Nationwide HPI (MoM) (Dec)
9:00(GMT) Eurozone M3 Money Supply (YoY) (Nov) 
13:30(GMT) U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims; Goods Trade Balance (Nov); Initial Jobless Claims; Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg; Wholesale Inventories (MoM) 
14:45(GMT) U.S. Bloomberg Consumer Confidence 
15:30(GMT) U.S. Natural Gas Storage




EUR/USD
According to the 60-minute chart,candlesticks rebounded quickly to the MA  resistance. See if it can break above MAs in short term. MACD is shortening sharply. We are mainly call option buyers at every low and put at every high.

Resistance:1.04425  1.04792  Support:1.04051  1.03709





GBP/USD
According to the 60-minute chart, candlesticks has formed an arc at the bottom. MACD is at correction.See if it can break through the 100-day quickly. We are mainly call option buyers at every low and put at every high.

Resistance:1.22674  1.22967  Support:1.22014  1.21067




USD/JPY
According to the 60-minute chart, candlesticks is falling quickly and has been below the 100-day MA. We are mainly put option buyers at every high when it rebounds.

Resistance:117.376  116.991  Support:116.666  116.140





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